India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 39°C at Lucknow Airport on April 17 under clear skies with low humidity around 30% in the afternoon, yet district block-level models project 42-42.4°C, fueling trader consensus on closely matched 40-42°C outcomes at 25-26% implied probabilities. This spread reflects short-term forecast uncertainty amid a projected 4-5°C regional rise over Northwest India through April 18, following recent cooler maxima of 38.1°C on April 14. Clear, dry conditions with no rainfall probability enhance potential for peak heating via solar insolation and subsidence, while urban heat island effects could push city-center readings higher; daily IMD updates expected April 16 may refine model consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
41°C 34%
42°C 30%
40°C 25%
39°C 14%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
9%
39°C
14%
40°C
25%
41°C
34%
42°C
27%
43°C
10%
44°C
4%
45°C
2%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
41°C 34%
42°C 30%
40°C 25%
39°C 14%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
9%
39°C
14%
40°C
25%
41°C
34%
42°C
27%
43°C
10%
44°C
4%
45°C
2%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature of 39°C at Lucknow Airport on April 17 under clear skies with low humidity around 30% in the afternoon, yet district block-level models project 42-42.4°C, fueling trader consensus on closely matched 40-42°C outcomes at 25-26% implied probabilities. This spread reflects short-term forecast uncertainty amid a projected 4-5°C regional rise over Northwest India through April 18, following recent cooler maxima of 38.1°C on April 14. Clear, dry conditions with no rainfall probability enhance potential for peak heating via solar insolation and subsidence, while urban heat island effects could push city-center readings higher; daily IMD updates expected April 16 may refine model consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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