**Persistent monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm risks, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 29–31°C for Lucknow’s September 1 maximum.** Official and ensemble forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy day with 70–90% precipitation chances, high humidity near 80–90%, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions typically cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~30°C by reducing incoming solar radiation. Minor variations in storm timing, intensity, or brief clearing periods differentiate the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 15%
28°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
12%
29°C
15%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
29°C 15%
28°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$18 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1 Vol.
12%
29°C
$7 Vol.
15%
30°C
$33 Vol.
30%
31°C
$157 Vol.
24%
32°C
$33 Vol.
10%
33°C
$3 Vol.
3%
34°C
$7 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm risks, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 29–31°C for Lucknow’s September 1 maximum.** Official and ensemble forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy day with 70–90% precipitation chances, high humidity near 80–90%, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions typically cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~30°C by reducing incoming solar radiation. Minor variations in storm timing, intensity, or brief clearing periods differentiate the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$326End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm risks, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 29–31°C for Lucknow’s September 1 maximum.** Official and ensemble forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy day with 70–90% precipitation chances, high humidity near 80–90%, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions typically cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~30°C by reducing incoming solar radiation. Minor variations in storm timing, intensity, or brief clearing periods differentiate the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$326End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm risks, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 29–31°C for Lucknow’s September 1 maximum.** Official and ensemble forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy day with 70–90% precipitation chances, high humidity near 80–90%, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions typically cap afternoon temperatures near or slightly below the early-September climatological average of ~30°C by reducing incoming solar radiation. Minor variations in storm timing, intensity, or brief clearing periods differentiate the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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