PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on April 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 24?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,029 Vol.
$42,029 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,029 Vol.
$42,029 Vol.
Apr 24, 2026
29°C or below
$1,500 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,408 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,662 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,365 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,511 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,112 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,805 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,560 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$4,840 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,491 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,774 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$42,029End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,029End Date
Apr 24, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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