PAGASA, the Philippine weather authority, forecasted a daytime high of 35°C for Metro Manila on April 28, 2026, amid easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that cap solar heating and intensification potential. Observational data from key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City—yesterday's peak at 34.4°C—align with this projection, reflecting dry-season norms enhanced by urban heat island effects but moderated by 30% rain chance and light winds. Evening readings around 31°C as of 9 PM PST confirm the maximum has likely been reached, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, though model consensus and timing make this improbable; final PAGASA low-high temperature report expected soon will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on April 28?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 28?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,799 Vol.
$28,799 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,799 Vol.
$28,799 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
29°C or below
$1,009 Vol.
No
30°C
$670 Vol.
No
31°C
$754 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,013 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,005 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,632 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,378 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$2,823 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,623 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,749 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$2,142 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA, the Philippine weather authority, forecasted a daytime high of 35°C for Metro Manila on April 28, 2026, amid easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that cap solar heating and intensification potential. Observational data from key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City—yesterday's peak at 34.4°C—align with this projection, reflecting dry-season norms enhanced by urban heat island effects but moderated by 30% rain chance and light winds. Evening readings around 31°C as of 9 PM PST confirm the maximum has likely been reached, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, though model consensus and timing make this improbable; final PAGASA low-high temperature report expected soon will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$28,799End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA, the Philippine weather authority, forecasted a daytime high of 35°C for Metro Manila on April 28, 2026, amid easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that cap solar heating and intensification potential. Observational data from key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City—yesterday's peak at 34.4°C—align with this projection, reflecting dry-season norms enhanced by urban heat island effects but moderated by 30% rain chance and light winds. Evening readings around 31°C as of 9 PM PST confirm the maximum has likely been reached, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, though model consensus and timing make this improbable; final PAGASA low-high temperature report expected soon will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,799End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
PAGASA, the Philippine weather authority, forecasted a daytime high of 35°C for Metro Manila on April 28, 2026, amid easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that cap solar heating and intensification potential. Observational data from key stations like Science Garden in Quezon City—yesterday's peak at 34.4°C—align with this projection, reflecting dry-season norms enhanced by urban heat island effects but moderated by 30% rain chance and light winds. Evening readings around 31°C as of 9 PM PST confirm the maximum has likely been reached, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C. A realistic challenge would require prolonged clearing and stronger insolation before sunset, though model consensus and timing make this improbable; final PAGASA low-high temperature report expected soon will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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