Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a peak high of around 36°C in Milan on August 5, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover or precipitation are expected to amplify daytime maxima, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 28–32°C but can exceed 35°C during stable anticyclonic conditions. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national agencies shows limited spread for this timeframe, with low probability of significant cooling or intensification before resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with observed short-term trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 5?
36°C 43%
37°C 21%
35°C 21%
34°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
33°C or below
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
21%
36°C
43%
37°C
21%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 21%
35°C 21%
34°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
33°C or below
$135 Vol.
5%
34°C
$147 Vol.
17%
35°C
$61 Vol.
21%
36°C
$77 Vol.
43%
37°C
$48 Vol.
21%
38°C
$37 Vol.
4%
39°C
$18 Vol.
2%
40°C
$32 Vol.
1%
41°C
$27 Vol.
1%
42°C
$27 Vol.
1%
43°C or higher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a peak high of around 36°C in Milan on August 5, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover or precipitation are expected to amplify daytime maxima, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 28–32°C but can exceed 35°C during stable anticyclonic conditions. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national agencies shows limited spread for this timeframe, with low probability of significant cooling or intensification before resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with observed short-term trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$637End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a peak high of around 36°C in Milan on August 5, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover or precipitation are expected to amplify daytime maxima, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 28–32°C but can exceed 35°C during stable anticyclonic conditions. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national agencies shows limited spread for this timeframe, with low probability of significant cooling or intensification before resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with observed short-term trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$637End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a peak high of around 36°C in Milan on August 5, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Po Valley. Urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover or precipitation are expected to amplify daytime maxima, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 28–32°C but can exceed 35°C during stable anticyclonic conditions. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national agencies shows limited spread for this timeframe, with low probability of significant cooling or intensification before resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with observed short-term trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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