Recent short-range ensemble consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models centers Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that curb daytime heating. Narrow model spread keeps guidance tightly clustered between 23–26°C, reflecting stable upper-level steering and modest moisture that limit extremes. This alignment underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C (45.5%) and adjacent bins at 23°C and 25°C, as traders integrate the low-uncertainty forecast while noting that any late clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context for the modest warm anomaly currently priced in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 46%
23°C 28%
25°C 12%
22°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
28%
24°C
46%
25°C
12%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 28%
25°C 12%
22°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$155 Vol.
2%
21°C
$102 Vol.
3%
22°C
$188 Vol.
7%
23°C
$358 Vol.
28%
24°C
$287 Vol.
46%
25°C
$1,056 Vol.
12%
26°C
$254 Vol.
4%
27°C
$203 Vol.
2%
28°C
$94 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models centers Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that curb daytime heating. Narrow model spread keeps guidance tightly clustered between 23–26°C, reflecting stable upper-level steering and modest moisture that limit extremes. This alignment underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C (45.5%) and adjacent bins at 23°C and 25°C, as traders integrate the low-uncertainty forecast while noting that any late clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context for the modest warm anomaly currently priced in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,941End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models centers Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that curb daytime heating. Narrow model spread keeps guidance tightly clustered between 23–26°C, reflecting stable upper-level steering and modest moisture that limit extremes. This alignment underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C (45.5%) and adjacent bins at 23°C and 25°C, as traders integrate the low-uncertainty forecast while noting that any late clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context for the modest warm anomaly currently priced in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,941End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models centers Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that curb daytime heating. Narrow model spread keeps guidance tightly clustered between 23–26°C, reflecting stable upper-level steering and modest moisture that limit extremes. This alignment underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C (45.5%) and adjacent bins at 23°C and 25°C, as traders integrate the low-uncertainty forecast while noting that any late clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context for the modest warm anomaly currently priced in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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