Updated forecasts from leading models, including those reflected in AccuWeather and Weather.com projections, indicate peak afternoon temperatures at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City exceeding 32°C (around 90–92°F), fueling the 77.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher as traders weigh skin-in-the-game consensus. This aligns with April climatology in Panama's tropical lowlands, where persistent solar heating and high humidity drive average highs to 32°C, supported by yesterday's near-31°C observation amid light winds. Partial cloudiness and stray thunderstorms introduce minor uncertainty, potentially capping intensity, but model ensembles favor sufficient clearing for 32°C+. Hourly METAR observations today will refine trajectories ahead of market resolution based on the official airport maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
32°C or higher 77%
31°C 19%
30°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
$12,650 Vol.
$12,650 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
77%
32°C or higher 77%
31°C 19%
30°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
$12,650 Vol.
$12,650 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
77%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Updated forecasts from leading models, including those reflected in AccuWeather and Weather.com projections, indicate peak afternoon temperatures at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City exceeding 32°C (around 90–92°F), fueling the 77.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher as traders weigh skin-in-the-game consensus. This aligns with April climatology in Panama's tropical lowlands, where persistent solar heating and high humidity drive average highs to 32°C, supported by yesterday's near-31°C observation amid light winds. Partial cloudiness and stray thunderstorms introduce minor uncertainty, potentially capping intensity, but model ensembles favor sufficient clearing for 32°C+. Hourly METAR observations today will refine trajectories ahead of market resolution based on the official airport maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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