Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 21, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent cool spring conditions across northern France, with northerly winds suppressing highs amid partly cloudy skies, mirroring the prior day's identical 15°C peak and aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-teens Celsius. April climatological norms for Paris average 15-16°C daytime highs, providing historical context for this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Météo-France due to instrument anomalies, with validated observations typically finalizing within 24-48 hours post-event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 21?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$204,083 Vol.
$204,083 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$204,083 Vol.
$204,083 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 21, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent cool spring conditions across northern France, with northerly winds suppressing highs amid partly cloudy skies, mirroring the prior day's identical 15°C peak and aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mid-teens Celsius. April climatological norms for Paris average 15-16°C daytime highs, providing historical context for this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Météo-France due to instrument anomalies, with validated observations typically finalizing within 24-48 hours post-event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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