**Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models project Paris highs clustering around 15–17°C on April 6, anchoring trader sentiment with 16°C leading at 34.5% implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting short-range uncertainty.** Persistent low-pressure influence over western Europe has kept early April cool and unsettled, with recent observations showing Paris maxing near 13°C on April 3 under overcast skies. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud cover evolution—partial clearing could boost 17–18°C via increased insolation—southerly wind strengthening for warmer advection, or incoming fronts capping at 14°C or below. Diurnal temperature range hinges on overnight lows around 7–9°C and urban heat island effects. Traders await daily updates from ECMWF 00Z/12Z runs and Météo-France bulletins through resolution at official Paris-Montsouris station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 36%
15°C 22%
17°C 21%
14°C or below 14%
14°C or below
14%
15°C
22%
16°C
36%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 36%
15°C 22%
17°C 21%
14°C or below 14%
14°C or below
14%
15°C
22%
16°C
36%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models project Paris highs clustering around 15–17°C on April 6, anchoring trader sentiment with 16°C leading at 34.5% implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting short-range uncertainty.** Persistent low-pressure influence over western Europe has kept early April cool and unsettled, with recent observations showing Paris maxing near 13°C on April 3 under overcast skies. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud cover evolution—partial clearing could boost 17–18°C via increased insolation—southerly wind strengthening for warmer advection, or incoming fronts capping at 14°C or below. Diurnal temperature range hinges on overnight lows around 7–9°C and urban heat island effects. Traders await daily updates from ECMWF 00Z/12Z runs and Météo-France bulletins through resolution at official Paris-Montsouris station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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