Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate clear skies and southeast winds will drive a peak temperature near 27°C in Paris on September 25, with afternoon highs potentially reaching 26–28°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 27°C at 43.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 34%, reflecting minor model spread in maximum values amid low precipitation chances. Historical averages for the date hover near 20°C, so the projected warmth stems from recent anticyclonic patterns rather than seasonal norms, though exact resolution hinges on precise observational maxima reported by official stations. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 25?
27°C 44%
28°C 34%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
44%
28°C
34%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 34%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$141 Vol.
3%
26°C
$159 Vol.
14%
27°C
$217 Vol.
44%
28°C
$877 Vol.
34%
29°C
$144 Vol.
13%
30°C
$132 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate clear skies and southeast winds will drive a peak temperature near 27°C in Paris on September 25, with afternoon highs potentially reaching 26–28°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 27°C at 43.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 34%, reflecting minor model spread in maximum values amid low precipitation chances. Historical averages for the date hover near 20°C, so the projected warmth stems from recent anticyclonic patterns rather than seasonal norms, though exact resolution hinges on precise observational maxima reported by official stations. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,764End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate clear skies and southeast winds will drive a peak temperature near 27°C in Paris on September 25, with afternoon highs potentially reaching 26–28°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 27°C at 43.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 34%, reflecting minor model spread in maximum values amid low precipitation chances. Historical averages for the date hover near 20°C, so the projected warmth stems from recent anticyclonic patterns rather than seasonal norms, though exact resolution hinges on precise observational maxima reported by official stations. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,764End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate clear skies and southeast winds will drive a peak temperature near 27°C in Paris on September 25, with afternoon highs potentially reaching 26–28°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 27°C at 43.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 34%, reflecting minor model spread in maximum values amid low precipitation chances. Historical averages for the date hover near 20°C, so the projected warmth stems from recent anticyclonic patterns rather than seasonal norms, though exact resolution hinges on precise observational maxima reported by official stations. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours could refine these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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