Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 16?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$34,435 Vol.
$34,435 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$34,435 Vol.
$34,435 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
14°C or below
$289 Vol.
No
15°C
$469 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,353 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,869 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,207 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,513 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$4,267 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,272 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,029 Vol.
No
23°C
$746 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$1,420 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$34,435End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,435End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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