Forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable sunny conditions and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze influence. This narrow range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of low forecast spread and historical August averages near 30–31°C. Recent observations through August 17 show no developing heat dome or cooling trough that would push extremes higher or lower, while ensemble guidance remains tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 19?
32°C 64%
31°C 24%
30°C 11%
34°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
64%
33°C
8%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
32°C 64%
31°C 24%
30°C 11%
34°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
29°C or below
$1 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$2 Vol.
24%
32°C
$58 Vol.
64%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$5 Vol.
4%
36°C
$5 Vol.
4%
37°C
$5 Vol.
3%
38°C
$5 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable sunny conditions and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze influence. This narrow range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of low forecast spread and historical August averages near 30–31°C. Recent observations through August 17 show no developing heat dome or cooling trough that would push extremes higher or lower, while ensemble guidance remains tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$86End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable sunny conditions and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze influence. This narrow range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of low forecast spread and historical August averages near 30–31°C. Recent observations through August 17 show no developing heat dome or cooling trough that would push extremes higher or lower, while ensemble guidance remains tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable sunny conditions and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze influence. This narrow range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of low forecast spread and historical August averages near 30–31°C. Recent observations through August 17 show no developing heat dome or cooling trough that would push extremes higher or lower, while ensemble guidance remains tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the final reading used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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