Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18 around 31–32°C because current short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to maintain sunny skies and light winds, limiting both cooling and extreme heating, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal peaks. Historical data show average August highs near 30–31°C with low day-to-day variability this time of year, and no heat-wave signals or model outliers currently appear in the outlook. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward 33°C or settle firmly at 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 53%
31°C 36%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
36%
32°C
53%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 36%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$15 Vol.
2%
29°C
$35 Vol.
3%
30°C
$108 Vol.
4%
31°C
$216 Vol.
36%
32°C
$306 Vol.
53%
33°C
$58 Vol.
10%
34°C
$70 Vol.
2%
35°C
$15 Vol.
2%
36°C
$10 Vol.
2%
37°C
$10 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18 around 31–32°C because current short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to maintain sunny skies and light winds, limiting both cooling and extreme heating, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal peaks. Historical data show average August highs near 30–31°C with low day-to-day variability this time of year, and no heat-wave signals or model outliers currently appear in the outlook. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward 33°C or settle firmly at 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,385End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18 around 31–32°C because current short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to maintain sunny skies and light winds, limiting both cooling and extreme heating, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal peaks. Historical data show average August highs near 30–31°C with low day-to-day variability this time of year, and no heat-wave signals or model outliers currently appear in the outlook. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward 33°C or settle firmly at 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,385End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18 around 31–32°C because current short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models consistently project daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions. A persistent subtropical high-pressure system is expected to maintain sunny skies and light winds, limiting both cooling and extreme heating, while sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C moderate coastal peaks. Historical data show average August highs near 30–31°C with low day-to-day variability this time of year, and no heat-wave signals or model outliers currently appear in the outlook. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward 33°C or settle firmly at 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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