Current meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16 point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light winds, and limited sea-breeze cooling that allows inland heating to peak. Long-term climatology places the average August high at approximately 30–31°C, so any slight positive anomaly from model consensus—such as reduced cloud cover or warmer advection—would favor the upper end of that range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with 33°C commanding the clearest plurality because ensemble runs show limited potential for either substantial cooling or sharp warming beyond historical precedent. Updated guidance from regional agencies in the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 10%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
71%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 10%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$434 Vol.
1%
31°C
$157 Vol.
2%
32°C
$714 Vol.
20%
33°C
$855 Vol.
71%
34°C
$379 Vol.
10%
35°C
$205 Vol.
2%
36°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16 point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light winds, and limited sea-breeze cooling that allows inland heating to peak. Long-term climatology places the average August high at approximately 30–31°C, so any slight positive anomaly from model consensus—such as reduced cloud cover or warmer advection—would favor the upper end of that range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with 33°C commanding the clearest plurality because ensemble runs show limited potential for either substantial cooling or sharp warming beyond historical precedent. Updated guidance from regional agencies in the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,075End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16 point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light winds, and limited sea-breeze cooling that allows inland heating to peak. Long-term climatology places the average August high at approximately 30–31°C, so any slight positive anomaly from model consensus—such as reduced cloud cover or warmer advection—would favor the upper end of that range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with 33°C commanding the clearest plurality because ensemble runs show limited potential for either substantial cooling or sharp warming beyond historical precedent. Updated guidance from regional agencies in the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,075End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16 point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light winds, and limited sea-breeze cooling that allows inland heating to peak. Long-term climatology places the average August high at approximately 30–31°C, so any slight positive anomaly from model consensus—such as reduced cloud cover or warmer advection—would favor the upper end of that range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with 33°C commanding the clearest plurality because ensemble runs show limited potential for either substantial cooling or sharp warming beyond historical precedent. Updated guidance from regional agencies in the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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