Current forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on August 15 under a weakening high-pressure ridge bringing light northeasterly flow and variable cloud. This aligns with near-average winter conditions for the region, where August highs typically range 12–15°C, with limited warming potential from the current setup and no strong frontal systems expected to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus on the 13–15°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest daytime heating offset by possible morning showers or sea-breeze effects, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind strength could shift the exact peak within that narrow band ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
14°C 54%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
16°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
22%
14°C
54%
15°C
22%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 54%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
16°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
9°C or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$20 Vol.
1%
12°C
$457 Vol.
4%
13°C
$1,486 Vol.
22%
14°C
$503 Vol.
54%
15°C
$740 Vol.
22%
16°C
$308 Vol.
5%
17°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$417 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on August 15 under a weakening high-pressure ridge bringing light northeasterly flow and variable cloud. This aligns with near-average winter conditions for the region, where August highs typically range 12–15°C, with limited warming potential from the current setup and no strong frontal systems expected to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus on the 13–15°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest daytime heating offset by possible morning showers or sea-breeze effects, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind strength could shift the exact peak within that narrow band ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,707End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on August 15 under a weakening high-pressure ridge bringing light northeasterly flow and variable cloud. This aligns with near-average winter conditions for the region, where August highs typically range 12–15°C, with limited warming potential from the current setup and no strong frontal systems expected to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus on the 13–15°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest daytime heating offset by possible morning showers or sea-breeze effects, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind strength could shift the exact peak within that narrow band ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,707End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on August 15 under a weakening high-pressure ridge bringing light northeasterly flow and variable cloud. This aligns with near-average winter conditions for the region, where August highs typically range 12–15°C, with limited warming potential from the current setup and no strong frontal systems expected to alter the trajectory. Trader consensus on the 13–15°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest daytime heating offset by possible morning showers or sea-breeze effects, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind strength could shift the exact peak within that narrow band ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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