Trader sentiment for Seattle’s August 14 high centers on National Weather Service guidance projecting an 80–82°F peak, driven by moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air that limits daytime heating despite the broader warmer-than-average Pacific Northwest summer. Recent model runs show limited spread, with sea-surface temperatures near normal and no strong offshore flow or subsidence to push readings into the mid-80s. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 77°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Key resolution factors include the exact maximum recorded at official stations before any marine push strengthens overnight. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours will provide the final inputs for market adjustment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 14?
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 23%
84-85°F 10%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 23%
84-85°F 10%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle’s August 14 high centers on National Weather Service guidance projecting an 80–82°F peak, driven by moderate zonal flow aloft and persistent onshore marine air that limits daytime heating despite the broader warmer-than-average Pacific Northwest summer. Recent model runs show limited spread, with sea-surface temperatures near normal and no strong offshore flow or subsidence to push readings into the mid-80s. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 77°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Key resolution factors include the exact maximum recorded at official stations before any marine push strengthens overnight. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours will provide the final inputs for market adjustment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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