Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate seasonal Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on August 15, with a daytime high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and negligible rain chance. This aligns closely with climatological August averages of 30–32°C, positioning 33°C as the consensus outcome at 71% implied probability while supporting a secondary 25% chance for 34°C if afternoon heating or local urban effects push readings slightly higher. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure dominance with minimal variability, reducing odds for extremes below 32°C or above 34°C. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical baselines for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation typically caps peaks near the observed range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 72%
34°C 25%
32°C 4%
31°C <1%
NEW
$19,343 Vol.
NEW
$19,343 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
72%
34°C
25%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
34°C 25%
32°C 4%
31°C <1%
NEW
$19,343 Vol.
NEW
$19,343 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,763 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,577 Vol.
4%
33°C
$5,934 Vol.
72%
34°C
$2,923 Vol.
25%
35°C
$1,442 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate seasonal Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on August 15, with a daytime high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and negligible rain chance. This aligns closely with climatological August averages of 30–32°C, positioning 33°C as the consensus outcome at 71% implied probability while supporting a secondary 25% chance for 34°C if afternoon heating or local urban effects push readings slightly higher. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure dominance with minimal variability, reducing odds for extremes below 32°C or above 34°C. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical baselines for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation typically caps peaks near the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,343End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate seasonal Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on August 15, with a daytime high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and negligible rain chance. This aligns closely with climatological August averages of 30–32°C, positioning 33°C as the consensus outcome at 71% implied probability while supporting a secondary 25% chance for 34°C if afternoon heating or local urban effects push readings slightly higher. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure dominance with minimal variability, reducing odds for extremes below 32°C or above 34°C. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical baselines for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation typically caps peaks near the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,343End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate seasonal Mediterranean conditions for Tel Aviv on August 15, with a daytime high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and negligible rain chance. This aligns closely with climatological August averages of 30–32°C, positioning 33°C as the consensus outcome at 71% implied probability while supporting a secondary 25% chance for 34°C if afternoon heating or local urban effects push readings slightly higher. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure dominance with minimal variability, reducing odds for extremes below 32°C or above 34°C. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical baselines for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation typically caps peaks near the observed range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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