Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,458 Vol.
$73,458 Vol.
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,458 Vol.
$73,458 Vol.
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
$2,168 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,199 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,183 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,329 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,684 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,285 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,009 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$9,043 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,751 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,730 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$4,077 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$73,458End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,458End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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