MetService's latest forecast for April 8 projects a Wellington high of 20°C under showers and northeasterlies, fueling trader consensus around 19–21°C outcomes with probabilities tightly clustered at 25–26.5%, reflecting model uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing that could cap peaks at 19°C or allow brief sunny breaks to push toward 21°C. Recent mild autumn conditions—highs of 19–20°C on April 2–3—align with seasonal norms of 17–18°C averages, but warming northerly flows introduce variability via sea breeze moderation and potential low-level instability. New observational data and forecast refinements expected daily from MetService through resolution at Wellington International Airport will clarify steering patterns and insolation impacts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 8?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 8?
21°C 27%
20°C 20%
18°C 15%
19°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 8, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
15%
19°C
15%
20°C
20%
21°C
27%
22°C or higher
11%
21°C 27%
20°C 20%
18°C 15%
19°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Apr 8, 2026
12°C or below
$905 Vol.
1%
13°C
$450 Vol.
6%
14°C
$461 Vol.
1%
15°C
$465 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$90 Vol.
27%
22°C or higher
$13 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for April 8 projects a Wellington high of 20°C under showers and northeasterlies, fueling trader consensus around 19–21°C outcomes with probabilities tightly clustered at 25–26.5%, reflecting model uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing that could cap peaks at 19°C or allow brief sunny breaks to push toward 21°C. Recent mild autumn conditions—highs of 19–20°C on April 2–3—align with seasonal norms of 17–18°C averages, but warming northerly flows introduce variability via sea breeze moderation and potential low-level instability. New observational data and forecast refinements expected daily from MetService through resolution at Wellington International Airport will clarify steering patterns and insolation impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$2,385End Date
Apr 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for April 8 projects a Wellington high of 20°C under showers and northeasterlies, fueling trader consensus around 19–21°C outcomes with probabilities tightly clustered at 25–26.5%, reflecting model uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing that could cap peaks at 19°C or allow brief sunny breaks to push toward 21°C. Recent mild autumn conditions—highs of 19–20°C on April 2–3—align with seasonal norms of 17–18°C averages, but warming northerly flows introduce variability via sea breeze moderation and potential low-level instability. New observational data and forecast refinements expected daily from MetService through resolution at Wellington International Airport will clarify steering patterns and insolation impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,385End Date
Apr 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for April 8 projects a Wellington high of 20°C under showers and northeasterlies, fueling trader consensus around 19–21°C outcomes with probabilities tightly clustered at 25–26.5%, reflecting model uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing that could cap peaks at 19°C or allow brief sunny breaks to push toward 21°C. Recent mild autumn conditions—highs of 19–20°C on April 2–3—align with seasonal norms of 17–18°C averages, but warming northerly flows introduce variability via sea breeze moderation and potential low-level instability. New observational data and forecast refinements expected daily from MetService through resolution at Wellington International Airport will clarify steering patterns and insolation impacts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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