Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService consensus on a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on June 3, driven by typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow and limited southerly air intrusions. This aligns with observed trends where early June highs rarely exceed seasonal averages near 13–14°C, and current model runs show no significant warming signals or blocking highs to push readings higher. The market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific agreement, though minor timing shifts in frontal passages could realistically allow a brief spike to 16°C if conditions deviate from the consensus run.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 3?
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$55,216 Vol.
$55,216 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$55,216 Vol.
$55,216 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
8°C or below
$1,153 Vol.
No
9°C
$849 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,098 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,656 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,152 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,788 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,519 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,844 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$7,091 Vol.
No
17°C
$10,629 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$7,437 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService consensus on a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on June 3, driven by typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow and limited southerly air intrusions. This aligns with observed trends where early June highs rarely exceed seasonal averages near 13–14°C, and current model runs show no significant warming signals or blocking highs to push readings higher. The market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific agreement, though minor timing shifts in frontal passages could realistically allow a brief spike to 16°C if conditions deviate from the consensus run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$55,216End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService consensus on a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on June 3, driven by typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow and limited southerly air intrusions. This aligns with observed trends where early June highs rarely exceed seasonal averages near 13–14°C, and current model runs show no significant warming signals or blocking highs to push readings higher. The market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific agreement, though minor timing shifts in frontal passages could realistically allow a brief spike to 16°C if conditions deviate from the consensus run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,216End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService consensus on a daytime maximum of 15°C for Wellington on June 3, driven by typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow and limited southerly air intrusions. This aligns with observed trends where early June highs rarely exceed seasonal averages near 13–14°C, and current model runs show no significant warming signals or blocking highs to push readings higher. The market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific agreement, though minor timing shifts in frontal passages could realistically allow a brief spike to 16°C if conditions deviate from the consensus run.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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