Official observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature on April 2, 2026, peaked at 20°C amid overcast skies, light rain, and fog that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement, drawn from hourly records throughout the day, reflects typical early-April conditions in Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, where average highs hover around 20-22°C based on historical data from the China Meteorological Administration. Model forecasts had anticipated similar moderation due to cloud cover and weak southerly winds. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a rare post hoc data revision from official archives, though such adjustments are infrequent for established station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 2?
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$107,753 Vol.
$107,753 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$107,753 Vol.
$107,753 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature on April 2, 2026, peaked at 20°C amid overcast skies, light rain, and fog that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement, drawn from hourly records throughout the day, reflects typical early-April conditions in Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, where average highs hover around 20-22°C based on historical data from the China Meteorological Administration. Model forecasts had anticipated similar moderation due to cloud cover and weak southerly winds. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require a rare post hoc data revision from official archives, though such adjustments are infrequent for established station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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