Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Wuhan on May 25, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This result stems from typical late-spring atmospheric conditions over the region, including moderate southerly flow, seasonal solar heating, and average humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near the long-term May mean of 28–30°C without triggering stronger warming from high-pressure ridges or clear skies. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showed limited variability in the 24–48 hours before the date, with no significant deviation expected. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving only remote possibilities like measurement revisions or localized microclimate effects to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 25?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,316 Vol.
$49,316 Vol.
May 25, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,316 Vol.
$49,316 Vol.
May 25, 2026
25°C or below
$1,999 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,985 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,275 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,417 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,722 Vol.
No
30°C
$12,975 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$6,045 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,216 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,444 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,411 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$3,826 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Wuhan on May 25, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This result stems from typical late-spring atmospheric conditions over the region, including moderate southerly flow, seasonal solar heating, and average humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near the long-term May mean of 28–30°C without triggering stronger warming from high-pressure ridges or clear skies. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showed limited variability in the 24–48 hours before the date, with no significant deviation expected. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving only remote possibilities like measurement revisions or localized microclimate effects to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 23, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$49,316End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 23, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Wuhan on May 25, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This result stems from typical late-spring atmospheric conditions over the region, including moderate southerly flow, seasonal solar heating, and average humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near the long-term May mean of 28–30°C without triggering stronger warming from high-pressure ridges or clear skies. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showed limited variability in the 24–48 hours before the date, with no significant deviation expected. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving only remote possibilities like measurement revisions or localized microclimate effects to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,316End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 23, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Wuhan on May 25, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This result stems from typical late-spring atmospheric conditions over the region, including moderate southerly flow, seasonal solar heating, and average humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near the long-term May mean of 28–30°C without triggering stronger warming from high-pressure ridges or clear skies. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showed limited variability in the 24–48 hours before the date, with no significant deviation expected. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving only remote possibilities like measurement revisions or localized microclimate effects to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions