Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a daytime high of 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 18 under overcast skies with light rain and 55–80% cloud cover. These conditions, driven by East Asian monsoon flow and moderate northeasterly winds, align closely with mid-August climatology where average maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus favors 32°C or higher as the leading bin because several runs still allow brief afternoon clearing and solar heating to push peaks to that threshold, while cloud and precipitation risks keep lower outcomes viable but less probable. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 18?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 18?
32°C or higher 47%
30°C 19%
26°C 9%
27°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
47%
32°C or higher 47%
30°C 19%
26°C 9%
27°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$110 Vol.
1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
1%
25°C
$110 Vol.
1%
26°C
$11 Vol.
9%
27°C
$11 Vol.
9%
28°C
$39 Vol.
9%
29°C
$1 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1 Vol.
19%
31°C
$12 Vol.
20%
32°C or higher
$20 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a daytime high of 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 18 under overcast skies with light rain and 55–80% cloud cover. These conditions, driven by East Asian monsoon flow and moderate northeasterly winds, align closely with mid-August climatology where average maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus favors 32°C or higher as the leading bin because several runs still allow brief afternoon clearing and solar heating to push peaks to that threshold, while cloud and precipitation risks keep lower outcomes viable but less probable. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$525End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a daytime high of 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 18 under overcast skies with light rain and 55–80% cloud cover. These conditions, driven by East Asian monsoon flow and moderate northeasterly winds, align closely with mid-August climatology where average maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus favors 32°C or higher as the leading bin because several runs still allow brief afternoon clearing and solar heating to push peaks to that threshold, while cloud and precipitation risks keep lower outcomes viable but less probable. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$525End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project a daytime high of 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 18 under overcast skies with light rain and 55–80% cloud cover. These conditions, driven by East Asian monsoon flow and moderate northeasterly winds, align closely with mid-August climatology where average maxima reach 31–33°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus favors 32°C or higher as the leading bin because several runs still allow brief afternoon clearing and solar heating to push peaks to that threshold, while cloud and precipitation risks keep lower outcomes viable but less probable. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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