Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 24, driven by expected widespread showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating. Persistent northeast flow, high humidity near 80%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70-90% align with a low-pressure trough influencing the region, suppressing peaks below the typical late-August average of 32-34°C. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 30-32°C, with the exact high hinging on storm timing and intensity; any delay in rain or reduced coverage could push readings to 32°C or higher. This scientific uncertainty, combined with official agency guidance on unstable conditions, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
32°C or higher 42%
31°C 33%
30°C 12%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
12%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
42%
32°C or higher 42%
31°C 33%
30°C 12%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$15 Vol.
7%
29°C
$7 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
33%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 24, driven by expected widespread showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating. Persistent northeast flow, high humidity near 80%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70-90% align with a low-pressure trough influencing the region, suppressing peaks below the typical late-August average of 32-34°C. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 30-32°C, with the exact high hinging on storm timing and intensity; any delay in rain or reduced coverage could push readings to 32°C or higher. This scientific uncertainty, combined with official agency guidance on unstable conditions, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C+.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$52End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 24, driven by expected widespread showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating. Persistent northeast flow, high humidity near 80%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70-90% align with a low-pressure trough influencing the region, suppressing peaks below the typical late-August average of 32-34°C. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 30-32°C, with the exact high hinging on storm timing and intensity; any delay in rain or reduced coverage could push readings to 32°C or higher. This scientific uncertainty, combined with official agency guidance on unstable conditions, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C+.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 24, driven by expected widespread showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating. Persistent northeast flow, high humidity near 80%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70-90% align with a low-pressure trough influencing the region, suppressing peaks below the typical late-August average of 32-34°C. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 30-32°C, with the exact high hinging on storm timing and intensity; any delay in rain or reduced coverage could push readings to 32°C or higher. This scientific uncertainty, combined with official agency guidance on unstable conditions, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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