Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched a decisive victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election party list vote—the key metric for popular vote winner—with early counts showing around 52% support against Fidesz–KDNP's 39%, propelling traders to price Tisza at 99.7%. Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat hours after polls closed, acknowledging the end of his 16-year rule amid high turnout and projections of Tisza's supermajority in the National Assembly. This reflects voter fatigue with Fidesz's long incumbency, economic pressures, and corruption concerns, solidified by counts over 90% nationwide, including diaspora ballots where Fidesz leads marginally but inconsequentially. Realistic challenges would require substantiated recounts, fraud claims, or court rulings overturning tallies, none of which have materialized under OSCE observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTisza 99.6%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Other <1%
$1,818,018 Vol.
$1,818,018 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
<1%
Tisza
100%
Other
<1%
Tisza 99.6%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Other <1%
$1,818,018 Vol.
$1,818,018 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
$699,390 Vol.
<1%
Tisza
$798,589 Vol.
100%
Other
$320,040 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched a decisive victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election party list vote—the key metric for popular vote winner—with early counts showing around 52% support against Fidesz–KDNP's 39%, propelling traders to price Tisza at 99.7%. Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat hours after polls closed, acknowledging the end of his 16-year rule amid high turnout and projections of Tisza's supermajority in the National Assembly. This reflects voter fatigue with Fidesz's long incumbency, economic pressures, and corruption concerns, solidified by counts over 90% nationwide, including diaspora ballots where Fidesz leads marginally but inconsequentially. Realistic challenges would require substantiated recounts, fraud claims, or court rulings overturning tallies, none of which have materialized under OSCE observation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Market Opened: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,818,018End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched a decisive victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election party list vote—the key metric for popular vote winner—with early counts showing around 52% support against Fidesz–KDNP's 39%, propelling traders to price Tisza at 99.7%. Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat hours after polls closed, acknowledging the end of his 16-year rule amid high turnout and projections of Tisza's supermajority in the National Assembly. This reflects voter fatigue with Fidesz's long incumbency, economic pressures, and corruption concerns, solidified by counts over 90% nationwide, including diaspora ballots where Fidesz leads marginally but inconsequentially. Realistic challenges would require substantiated recounts, fraud claims, or court rulings overturning tallies, none of which have materialized under OSCE observation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$1,818,018End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched a decisive victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election party list vote—the key metric for popular vote winner—with early counts showing around 52% support against Fidesz–KDNP's 39%, propelling traders to price Tisza at 99.7%. Prime Minister Viktor Orbán conceded defeat hours after polls closed, acknowledging the end of his 16-year rule amid high turnout and projections of Tisza's supermajority in the National Assembly. This reflects voter fatigue with Fidesz's long incumbency, economic pressures, and corruption concerns, solidified by counts over 90% nationwide, including diaspora ballots where Fidesz leads marginally but inconsequentially. Realistic challenges would require substantiated recounts, fraud claims, or court rulings overturning tallies, none of which have materialized under OSCE observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
98%
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
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Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
95%
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