Idaho's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections drives the market's assessment of a Republican victory. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1974, reflecting a durable voter base that consistently supports GOP candidates in statewide contests. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition in the May primary, while Democratic nominee David Roth advanced with limited primary turnout and faces structural headwinds in a deeply conservative electorate. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid for Republicans. Although the leading outcome reflects this entrenched advantage, developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the trajectory before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
$17,465 Обс.
$17,465 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
7%
$17,465 Обс.
$17,465 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$12,247 Обс.
92%
Democrat
$5,218 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections drives the market's assessment of a Republican victory. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1974, reflecting a durable voter base that consistently supports GOP candidates in statewide contests. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition in the May primary, while Democratic nominee David Roth advanced with limited primary turnout and faces structural headwinds in a deeply conservative electorate. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid for Republicans. Although the leading outcome reflects this entrenched advantage, developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,465Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections drives the market's assessment of a Republican victory. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1974, reflecting a durable voter base that consistently supports GOP candidates in statewide contests. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition in the May primary, while Democratic nominee David Roth advanced with limited primary turnout and faces structural headwinds in a deeply conservative electorate. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid for Republicans. Although the leading outcome reflects this entrenched advantage, developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$17,465Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections drives the market's assessment of a Republican victory. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1974, reflecting a durable voter base that consistently supports GOP candidates in statewide contests. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition in the May primary, while Democratic nominee David Roth advanced with limited primary turnout and faces structural headwinds in a deeply conservative electorate. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid for Republicans. Although the leading outcome reflects this entrenched advantage, developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment could still alter the trajectory before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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