Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight have promoted radiational cooling across the Ankara region, with official forecasts from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models converging on a daily minimum near 10°C for September 9. This aligns with current surface observations showing temperatures falling steadily through the early morning hours toward that threshold, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability reflects high confidence in these model runs and station data ahead of final verification. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could raise the minimum by 1–2°C and alter resolution, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 9?
10°C 99.4%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 99.4%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
7°C or below
$50 Vol.
1%
8°C
$45 Vol.
1%
9°C
$45 Vol.
1%
10°C
$460 Vol.
99%
11°C
$479 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight have promoted radiational cooling across the Ankara region, with official forecasts from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models converging on a daily minimum near 10°C for September 9. This aligns with current surface observations showing temperatures falling steadily through the early morning hours toward that threshold, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability reflects high confidence in these model runs and station data ahead of final verification. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could raise the minimum by 1–2°C and alter resolution, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,708End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight have promoted radiational cooling across the Ankara region, with official forecasts from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models converging on a daily minimum near 10°C for September 9. This aligns with current surface observations showing temperatures falling steadily through the early morning hours toward that threshold, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability reflects high confidence in these model runs and station data ahead of final verification. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could raise the minimum by 1–2°C and alter resolution, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,708End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight have promoted radiational cooling across the Ankara region, with official forecasts from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models converging on a daily minimum near 10°C for September 9. This aligns with current surface observations showing temperatures falling steadily through the early morning hours toward that threshold, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. Trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability reflects high confidence in these model runs and station data ahead of final verification. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns could raise the minimum by 1–2°C and alter resolution, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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