**Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 17–18°C for Beijing on September 25, 2026, amid a transition to cooler northerly flow and lingering moisture.** Multi-cloud conditions and light rain chances on the preceding day are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the low near these values rather than allowing sharper drops. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or wind shifts that could push readings a degree lower or sustain them slightly higher. Historical September averages place the typical low around 14°C, but current pattern anomalies favor the warmer side of climatology. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of official guidance against potential model revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 25?
13°C or below 46%
23°C or higher 42%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
13°C or below
46%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
42%
13°C or below 46%
23°C or higher 42%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
46%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 17–18°C for Beijing on September 25, 2026, amid a transition to cooler northerly flow and lingering moisture.**
Multi-cloud conditions and light rain chances on the preceding day are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the low near these values rather than allowing sharper drops. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or wind shifts that could push readings a degree lower or sustain them slightly higher. Historical September averages place the typical low around 14°C, but current pattern anomalies favor the warmer side of climatology. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of official guidance against potential model revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 17–18°C for Beijing on September 25, 2026, amid a transition to cooler northerly flow and lingering moisture.**
Multi-cloud conditions and light rain chances on the preceding day are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the low near these values rather than allowing sharper drops. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or wind shifts that could push readings a degree lower or sustain them slightly higher. Historical September averages place the typical low around 14°C, but current pattern anomalies favor the warmer side of climatology. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of official guidance against potential model revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a minimum temperature of 17–18°C for Beijing on September 25, 2026, amid a transition to cooler northerly flow and lingering moisture.** Multi-cloud conditions and light rain chances on the preceding day are expected to limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping the low near these values rather than allowing sharper drops. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or wind shifts that could push readings a degree lower or sustain them slightly higher. Historical September averages place the typical low around 14°C, but current pattern anomalies favor the warmer side of climatology. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of official guidance against potential model revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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