Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 24°C in Busan on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph that advect cooler maritime air while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal transition as the East Asian monsoon weakens, producing typical early-September dew points around 18–20°C and humidity dropping below 70 percent at night. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with only modest potential for 25–26°C if cloud cover increases or 23°C if winds strengthen further; no tropical systems or anomalous blocking patterns are forecast to alter the trajectory before resolution. Updated model cycles from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Busan on September 4?
21°C 94%
26°C 94%
22°C 84%
25°C 82%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
48%
21°C
94%
22°C
84%
23°C
51%
24°C
49%
25°C
82%
26°C
94%
27°C
82%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
59%
21°C 94%
26°C 94%
22°C 84%
25°C 82%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
94%
22°C
$0 Vol.
84%
23°C
$0 Vol.
51%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
82%
26°C
$0 Vol.
94%
27°C
$0 Vol.
82%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 24°C in Busan on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph that advect cooler maritime air while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal transition as the East Asian monsoon weakens, producing typical early-September dew points around 18–20°C and humidity dropping below 70 percent at night. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with only modest potential for 25–26°C if cloud cover increases or 23°C if winds strengthen further; no tropical systems or anomalous blocking patterns are forecast to alter the trajectory before resolution. Updated model cycles from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 24°C in Busan on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph that advect cooler maritime air while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal transition as the East Asian monsoon weakens, producing typical early-September dew points around 18–20°C and humidity dropping below 70 percent at night. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with only modest potential for 25–26°C if cloud cover increases or 23°C if winds strengthen further; no tropical systems or anomalous blocking patterns are forecast to alter the trajectory before resolution. Updated model cycles from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 24°C in Busan on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph that advect cooler maritime air while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the seasonal transition as the East Asian monsoon weakens, producing typical early-September dew points around 18–20°C and humidity dropping below 70 percent at night. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, with only modest potential for 25–26°C if cloud cover increases or 23°C if winds strengthen further; no tropical systems or anomalous blocking patterns are forecast to alter the trajectory before resolution. Updated model cycles from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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