Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a low around 23–25°C on September 3 amid incoming rain, thunderstorms, and northerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 average of 25°C but below the seasonal peak. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a regional system are expected to limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling, while model runs show modest divergence on exact timing and intensity of the disturbance. This uncertainty underpins the near-even market split between the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher tails, as traders weigh the potential for stronger cold-air advection or clearer skies versus sustained humid, overcast conditions that could push the minimum higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 3?
19°C or below 69%
29°C or higher 69%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
19°C or below
69%
20°C
13%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
69%
19°C or below 69%
29°C or higher 69%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
69%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a low around 23–25°C on September 3 amid incoming rain, thunderstorms, and northerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 average of 25°C but below the seasonal peak. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a regional system are expected to limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling, while model runs show modest divergence on exact timing and intensity of the disturbance. This uncertainty underpins the near-even market split between the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher tails, as traders weigh the potential for stronger cold-air advection or clearer skies versus sustained humid, overcast conditions that could push the minimum higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$15End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a low around 23–25°C on September 3 amid incoming rain, thunderstorms, and northerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 average of 25°C but below the seasonal peak. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a regional system are expected to limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling, while model runs show modest divergence on exact timing and intensity of the disturbance. This uncertainty underpins the near-even market split between the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher tails, as traders weigh the potential for stronger cold-air advection or clearer skies versus sustained humid, overcast conditions that could push the minimum higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a low around 23–25°C on September 3 amid incoming rain, thunderstorms, and northerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 average of 25°C but below the seasonal peak. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a regional system are expected to limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling, while model runs show modest divergence on exact timing and intensity of the disturbance. This uncertainty underpins the near-even market split between the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher tails, as traders weigh the potential for stronger cold-air advection or clearer skies versus sustained humid, overcast conditions that could push the minimum higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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