**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 23 centers on the 25–27°C range amid a broad low-pressure trough sustaining unstable conditions over the South China coast.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–31°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, southwesterly winds of force 4, and relative humidity of 70–95%. Nighttime minima hinge on limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and moderate wind mixing that curbs further drops below the typical urban overnight floor near 27°C. Higher probabilities assigned to 26°C and 25°C reflect model runs showing slightly enhanced cooling potential under heavier overnight showers, while the slim tail below 24°C or above 29°C aligns with climatological rarity for late-August conditions in the region. Updated forecast guidance and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 22%
28°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
14%
25°C
22%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 22%
28°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
22°C
$72 Vol.
1%
23°C
$613 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$19 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$42 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 23 centers on the 25–27°C range amid a broad low-pressure trough sustaining unstable conditions over the South China coast.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–31°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, southwesterly winds of force 4, and relative humidity of 70–95%. Nighttime minima hinge on limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and moderate wind mixing that curbs further drops below the typical urban overnight floor near 27°C. Higher probabilities assigned to 26°C and 25°C reflect model runs showing slightly enhanced cooling potential under heavier overnight showers, while the slim tail below 24°C or above 29°C aligns with climatological rarity for late-August conditions in the region. Updated forecast guidance and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$809End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 23 centers on the 25–27°C range amid a broad low-pressure trough sustaining unstable conditions over the South China coast.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–31°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, southwesterly winds of force 4, and relative humidity of 70–95%. Nighttime minima hinge on limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and moderate wind mixing that curbs further drops below the typical urban overnight floor near 27°C. Higher probabilities assigned to 26°C and 25°C reflect model runs showing slightly enhanced cooling potential under heavier overnight showers, while the slim tail below 24°C or above 29°C aligns with climatological rarity for late-August conditions in the region. Updated forecast guidance and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$809End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 23 centers on the 25–27°C range amid a broad low-pressure trough sustaining unstable conditions over the South China coast.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–31°C daily range under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, southwesterly winds of force 4, and relative humidity of 70–95%. Nighttime minima hinge on limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and moderate wind mixing that curbs further drops below the typical urban overnight floor near 27°C. Higher probabilities assigned to 26°C and 25°C reflect model runs showing slightly enhanced cooling potential under heavier overnight showers, while the slim tail below 24°C or above 29°C aligns with climatological rarity for late-August conditions in the region. Updated forecast guidance and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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