Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to minimum temperatures near 27–28°C on June 20, consistent with above-normal seasonal outlooks for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends. High humidity above 80 percent, widespread cloud cover from showers, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, with resolution hinging on precise timing of any convective activity or changes in boundary-layer moisture that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 27°C provide the baseline against which short-term model updates will be measured.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 20?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,393 Vol.
$46,393 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,393 Vol.
$46,393 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
23°C or below
$518 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,813 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,102 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,065 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,042 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,768 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,806 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,546 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,375 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,047 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$310 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to minimum temperatures near 27–28°C on June 20, consistent with above-normal seasonal outlooks for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends. High humidity above 80 percent, widespread cloud cover from showers, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, with resolution hinging on precise timing of any convective activity or changes in boundary-layer moisture that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 27°C provide the baseline against which short-term model updates will be measured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$46,393End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to minimum temperatures near 27–28°C on June 20, consistent with above-normal seasonal outlooks for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends. High humidity above 80 percent, widespread cloud cover from showers, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, with resolution hinging on precise timing of any convective activity or changes in boundary-layer moisture that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 27°C provide the baseline against which short-term model updates will be measured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46,393End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to minimum temperatures near 27–28°C on June 20, consistent with above-normal seasonal outlooks for June–August amid ongoing climate warming trends. High humidity above 80 percent, widespread cloud cover from showers, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, with resolution hinging on precise timing of any convective activity or changes in boundary-layer moisture that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 27°C provide the baseline against which short-term model updates will be measured.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions