Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus forecasts point to typical late-June subtropical conditions, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly flow, keeping the minimum temperature near 27–28 °C on 30 June. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for the month, and no approaching trough, typhoon, or frontal system is expected to enhance cooling or introduce variability before resolution. Historical June minima average 26–27 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed rather than any dramatic shift in the synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,202 Vol.
$44,202 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,202 Vol.
$44,202 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
22°C or below
$995 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,950 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,826 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,538 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,599 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$7,854 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,542 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,455 Vol.
No
30°C
$761 Vol.
No
31°C
$649 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,031 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus forecasts point to typical late-June subtropical conditions, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly flow, keeping the minimum temperature near 27–28 °C on 30 June. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for the month, and no approaching trough, typhoon, or frontal system is expected to enhance cooling or introduce variability before resolution. Historical June minima average 26–27 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed rather than any dramatic shift in the synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$44,202End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus forecasts point to typical late-June subtropical conditions, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly flow, keeping the minimum temperature near 27–28 °C on 30 June. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for the month, and no approaching trough, typhoon, or frontal system is expected to enhance cooling or introduce variability before resolution. Historical June minima average 26–27 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed rather than any dramatic shift in the synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,202End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus forecasts point to typical late-June subtropical conditions, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly flow, keeping the minimum temperature near 27–28 °C on 30 June. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for the month, and no approaching trough, typhoon, or frontal system is expected to enhance cooling or introduce variability before resolution. Historical June minima average 26–27 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed rather than any dramatic shift in the synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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