Strong consensus around 22°C or higher for Jinan's overnight low on August 22 stems from official short-term forecasts projecting minima of 22–25°C amid persistent summer warmth. Regional models from sources such as AccuWeather and the BBC align with climatological August averages for Jinan in Shandong, where overnight lows typically range 21–24°C under subtropical high-pressure influence and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High daytime maxima near 33–35°C further suppress temperature drops through residual heat and humidity. While minor forecast revisions from new model runs could occur before resolution, significant cooling below 22°C would require an unseasonal cold front or anomalous cloud cover not currently indicated in consensus guidance. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band backed by real-time observational trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 22?
22°C or higher 98%
20°C 3%
21°C 3%
12°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
98%
22°C or higher 98%
20°C 3%
21°C 3%
12°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
12°C or below
$21 Vol.
1%
13°C
$21 Vol.
1%
14°C
$21 Vol.
1%
15°C
$21 Vol.
1%
16°C
$21 Vol.
1%
17°C
$21 Vol.
1%
18°C
$21 Vol.
1%
19°C
$21 Vol.
1%
20°C
$21 Vol.
3%
21°C
$21 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$58 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus around 22°C or higher for Jinan's overnight low on August 22 stems from official short-term forecasts projecting minima of 22–25°C amid persistent summer warmth. Regional models from sources such as AccuWeather and the BBC align with climatological August averages for Jinan in Shandong, where overnight lows typically range 21–24°C under subtropical high-pressure influence and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High daytime maxima near 33–35°C further suppress temperature drops through residual heat and humidity. While minor forecast revisions from new model runs could occur before resolution, significant cooling below 22°C would require an unseasonal cold front or anomalous cloud cover not currently indicated in consensus guidance. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band backed by real-time observational trends.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$272End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus around 22°C or higher for Jinan's overnight low on August 22 stems from official short-term forecasts projecting minima of 22–25°C amid persistent summer warmth. Regional models from sources such as AccuWeather and the BBC align with climatological August averages for Jinan in Shandong, where overnight lows typically range 21–24°C under subtropical high-pressure influence and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High daytime maxima near 33–35°C further suppress temperature drops through residual heat and humidity. While minor forecast revisions from new model runs could occur before resolution, significant cooling below 22°C would require an unseasonal cold front or anomalous cloud cover not currently indicated in consensus guidance. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band backed by real-time observational trends.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$272End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong consensus around 22°C or higher for Jinan's overnight low on August 22 stems from official short-term forecasts projecting minima of 22–25°C amid persistent summer warmth. Regional models from sources such as AccuWeather and the BBC align with climatological August averages for Jinan in Shandong, where overnight lows typically range 21–24°C under subtropical high-pressure influence and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High daytime maxima near 33–35°C further suppress temperature drops through residual heat and humidity. While minor forecast revisions from new model runs could occur before resolution, significant cooling below 22°C would require an unseasonal cold front or anomalous cloud cover not currently indicated in consensus guidance. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band backed by real-time observational trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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