Current forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a low near 18°C for Jinan on September 4 under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds of 3–5 m/s, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate radiative cooling overnight. This setup follows recent stable high-pressure conditions with daytime highs around 30–32°C and no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the temperature trajectory. Trader sentiment shows balanced odds between sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes because small variations in exact minimum timing, urban heat island effects, or model spread in boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded low by several degrees within the 15–20°C range typical for early September climatology. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 4?
12°C or below 93%
22°C or higher 91%
16°C 49%
18°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
93%
13°C
19%
14°C
24%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
28%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C or higher
91%
12°C or below 93%
22°C or higher 91%
16°C 49%
18°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
13°C
$893 Vol.
19%
14°C
$50 Vol.
24%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$6 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a low near 18°C for Jinan on September 4 under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds of 3–5 m/s, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate radiative cooling overnight. This setup follows recent stable high-pressure conditions with daytime highs around 30–32°C and no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the temperature trajectory. Trader sentiment shows balanced odds between sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes because small variations in exact minimum timing, urban heat island effects, or model spread in boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded low by several degrees within the 15–20°C range typical for early September climatology. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$949End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a low near 18°C for Jinan on September 4 under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds of 3–5 m/s, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate radiative cooling overnight. This setup follows recent stable high-pressure conditions with daytime highs around 30–32°C and no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the temperature trajectory. Trader sentiment shows balanced odds between sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes because small variations in exact minimum timing, urban heat island effects, or model spread in boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded low by several degrees within the 15–20°C range typical for early September climatology. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$949End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models and official sources converge on a low near 18°C for Jinan on September 4 under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds of 3–5 m/s, and minimal cloud cover that favors moderate radiative cooling overnight. This setup follows recent stable high-pressure conditions with daytime highs around 30–32°C and no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the temperature trajectory. Trader sentiment shows balanced odds between sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes because small variations in exact minimum timing, urban heat island effects, or model spread in boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded low by several degrees within the 15–20°C range typical for early September climatology. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions