**Forecast models from the UK Met Office and supporting sources indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in London on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 17°C (63%) and 16°C (22.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows mild relative to August climatology. Hourly guidance shows temperatures holding near 17°C through the pre-dawn period before rising. Ensemble consensus remains stable with low spread, though minor model differences in cloud timing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Resolution depends on official Met Office observations; traders are weighting the current forecast run heavily given proximity to the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 29?
Lowest temperature in London on August 29?
17°C 63%
16°C 23%
18°C 16%
15°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
23%
17°C
63%
18°C
16%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 63%
16°C 23%
18°C 16%
15°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$250 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,640 Vol.
23%
17°C
$1,493 Vol.
63%
18°C
$711 Vol.
16%
19°C
$517 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the UK Met Office and supporting sources indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in London on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 17°C (63%) and 16°C (22.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows mild relative to August climatology. Hourly guidance shows temperatures holding near 17°C through the pre-dawn period before rising. Ensemble consensus remains stable with low spread, though minor model differences in cloud timing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Resolution depends on official Met Office observations; traders are weighting the current forecast run heavily given proximity to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,564End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the UK Met Office and supporting sources indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in London on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 17°C (63%) and 16°C (22.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows mild relative to August climatology. Hourly guidance shows temperatures holding near 17°C through the pre-dawn period before rising. Ensemble consensus remains stable with low spread, though minor model differences in cloud timing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Resolution depends on official Met Office observations; traders are weighting the current forecast run heavily given proximity to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,564End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the UK Met Office and supporting sources indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in London on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 17°C (63%) and 16°C (22.5%).** Persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows mild relative to August climatology. Hourly guidance shows temperatures holding near 17°C through the pre-dawn period before rising. Ensemble consensus remains stable with low spread, though minor model differences in cloud timing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Resolution depends on official Met Office observations; traders are weighting the current forecast run heavily given proximity to the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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