Recent Met Office observations and forecast model consensus for London on June 16, 2026, indicate a daily minimum of 15°C, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects verified overnight readings near 11–13°C in early forecasts evolving into confirmed values around 15°C amid stable high pressure and light winds limiting further cooling. Official station data from sites like Heathrow and Kew Gardens provide the resolution standard, consistent with typical mid-June climatology of 11–12°C lows. Minor discrepancies from microclimate variations or delayed final reports represent the primary realistic scenarios that could shift the exact recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 16?
Lowest temperature in London on June 16?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$17,254 Vol.
$17,254 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$17,254 Vol.
$17,254 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
11°C or below
$710 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,033 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,623 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,923 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,671 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$2,250 Vol.
No
17°C
$976 Vol.
No
18°C
$709 Vol.
No
19°C
$365 Vol.
No
20°C
$345 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$650 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office observations and forecast model consensus for London on June 16, 2026, indicate a daily minimum of 15°C, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects verified overnight readings near 11–13°C in early forecasts evolving into confirmed values around 15°C amid stable high pressure and light winds limiting further cooling. Official station data from sites like Heathrow and Kew Gardens provide the resolution standard, consistent with typical mid-June climatology of 11–12°C lows. Minor discrepancies from microclimate variations or delayed final reports represent the primary realistic scenarios that could shift the exact recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$17,254End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office observations and forecast model consensus for London on June 16, 2026, indicate a daily minimum of 15°C, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects verified overnight readings near 11–13°C in early forecasts evolving into confirmed values around 15°C amid stable high pressure and light winds limiting further cooling. Official station data from sites like Heathrow and Kew Gardens provide the resolution standard, consistent with typical mid-June climatology of 11–12°C lows. Minor discrepancies from microclimate variations or delayed final reports represent the primary realistic scenarios that could shift the exact recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,254End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Met Office observations and forecast model consensus for London on June 16, 2026, indicate a daily minimum of 15°C, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects verified overnight readings near 11–13°C in early forecasts evolving into confirmed values around 15°C amid stable high pressure and light winds limiting further cooling. Official station data from sites like Heathrow and Kew Gardens provide the resolution standard, consistent with typical mid-June climatology of 11–12°C lows. Minor discrepancies from microclimate variations or delayed final reports represent the primary realistic scenarios that could shift the exact recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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