Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in London on June 4, driven by mild, unsettled conditions with cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with early-June climatology near or slightly above the long-term average low of about 11–12°C, as multiple numerical weather prediction models converge on stable overnight readings without strong high-pressure influence or clear skies. Trader consensus at 14°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range for the day’s resolution. Clearer conditions allowing greater heat loss or localized variations in official measurement sites could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely given the current setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 4?
Lowest temperature in London on June 4?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,234 Vol.
$37,234 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,234 Vol.
$37,234 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
7°C or below
$1,349 Vol.
No
8°C
$138 Vol.
No
9°C
$307 Vol.
No
10°C
$300 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,148 Vol.
No
12°C
$10,103 Vol.
No
13°C
$5,160 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,607 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$1,846 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,009 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$5,267 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in London on June 4, driven by mild, unsettled conditions with cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with early-June climatology near or slightly above the long-term average low of about 11–12°C, as multiple numerical weather prediction models converge on stable overnight readings without strong high-pressure influence or clear skies. Trader consensus at 14°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range for the day’s resolution. Clearer conditions allowing greater heat loss or localized variations in official measurement sites could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely given the current setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$37,234End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in London on June 4, driven by mild, unsettled conditions with cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with early-June climatology near or slightly above the long-term average low of about 11–12°C, as multiple numerical weather prediction models converge on stable overnight readings without strong high-pressure influence or clear skies. Trader consensus at 14°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range for the day’s resolution. Clearer conditions allowing greater heat loss or localized variations in official measurement sites could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely given the current setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,234End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in London on June 4, driven by mild, unsettled conditions with cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with early-June climatology near or slightly above the long-term average low of about 11–12°C, as multiple numerical weather prediction models converge on stable overnight readings without strong high-pressure influence or clear skies. Trader consensus at 14°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range for the day’s resolution. Clearer conditions allowing greater heat loss or localized variations in official measurement sites could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely given the current setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions