The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to drive scattered rains and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, sustaining high humidity and extensive cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C. PAGASA outlooks indicate lows around 26°C for August 27 amid moderate rainfall potential, while any intensification of showers or shifts in wind patterns could enhance evaporative cooling toward 24–25°C or allow brief clearer intervals pushing toward 28°C. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against typical wet-season baselines, where consistent moisture keeps extremes below 23°C or above 29°C unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Manila on August 27?
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
31°C or higher 41%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
29%
23°C
40%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
41%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
31°C or higher 41%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
29%
23°C
40%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to drive scattered rains and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, sustaining high humidity and extensive cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C. PAGASA outlooks indicate lows around 26°C for August 27 amid moderate rainfall potential, while any intensification of showers or shifts in wind patterns could enhance evaporative cooling toward 24–25°C or allow brief clearer intervals pushing toward 28°C. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against typical wet-season baselines, where consistent moisture keeps extremes below 23°C or above 29°C unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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