Recent model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and regional forecasts points to overnight lows in Milan on August 27, 2026, settling in the 22–24 °C range under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northerly winds, and modest humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. This stability arises from a persistent high-pressure pattern across northern Italy typical of late summer, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky extremes expected in the next 48 hours. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 20–22 °C outcomes while assigning lower probability to cooler or warmer extremes that would require larger forecast revisions. Updated runs from official agencies will provide the next refinement before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 27?
25°C 48%
26°C or higher 27%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
16°C or below
8%
17°C
1%
18°C
23%
19°C
24%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
25%
23°C
23%
24°C
2%
25°C
48%
26°C or higher
27%
25°C 48%
26°C or higher 27%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
8%
17°C
$15 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
23%
19°C
$0 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
48%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and regional forecasts points to overnight lows in Milan on August 27, 2026, settling in the 22–24 °C range under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northerly winds, and modest humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. This stability arises from a persistent high-pressure pattern across northern Italy typical of late summer, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky extremes expected in the next 48 hours. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 20–22 °C outcomes while assigning lower probability to cooler or warmer extremes that would require larger forecast revisions. Updated runs from official agencies will provide the next refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$35End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and regional forecasts points to overnight lows in Milan on August 27, 2026, settling in the 22–24 °C range under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northerly winds, and modest humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. This stability arises from a persistent high-pressure pattern across northern Italy typical of late summer, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky extremes expected in the next 48 hours. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 20–22 °C outcomes while assigning lower probability to cooler or warmer extremes that would require larger forecast revisions. Updated runs from official agencies will provide the next refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and regional forecasts points to overnight lows in Milan on August 27, 2026, settling in the 22–24 °C range under partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northerly winds, and modest humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. This stability arises from a persistent high-pressure pattern across northern Italy typical of late summer, with no significant frontal passages or clear-sky extremes expected in the next 48 hours. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 20–22 °C outcomes while assigning lower probability to cooler or warmer extremes that would require larger forecast revisions. Updated runs from official agencies will provide the next refinement before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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