Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan around 20–22°C on August 25, with daytime highs near 28°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms driven by modest instability and light easterly flow. This places the minimum near normal late-summer values, yet the near-even market split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below reflects lingering uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, cloud-cover evolution, and any late-arriving frontal boundary. Traders weigh ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs, where small shifts in dew-point depression or wind mixing could tip the minimum several degrees either way before final observations from local stations resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
24°C or higher 95%
14°C or below 93%
19°C 29%
18°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
14°C or below
93%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
95%
24°C or higher 95%
14°C or below 93%
19°C 29%
18°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
93%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$4 Vol.
25%
22°C
$5 Vol.
8%
23°C
$5 Vol.
8%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan around 20–22°C on August 25, with daytime highs near 28°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms driven by modest instability and light easterly flow. This places the minimum near normal late-summer values, yet the near-even market split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below reflects lingering uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, cloud-cover evolution, and any late-arriving frontal boundary. Traders weigh ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs, where small shifts in dew-point depression or wind mixing could tip the minimum several degrees either way before final observations from local stations resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$24End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan around 20–22°C on August 25, with daytime highs near 28°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms driven by modest instability and light easterly flow. This places the minimum near normal late-summer values, yet the near-even market split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below reflects lingering uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, cloud-cover evolution, and any late-arriving frontal boundary. Traders weigh ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs, where small shifts in dew-point depression or wind mixing could tip the minimum several degrees either way before final observations from local stations resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan around 20–22°C on August 25, with daytime highs near 28°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms driven by modest instability and light easterly flow. This places the minimum near normal late-summer values, yet the near-even market split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below reflects lingering uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, cloud-cover evolution, and any late-arriving frontal boundary. Traders weigh ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs, where small shifts in dew-point depression or wind mixing could tip the minimum several degrees either way before final observations from local stations resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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