**Typical overnight lows in Panama City during August hover near 24°C, driven by the persistent influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Recent climatological data from sources like AccuWeather and Weatherspark show August minimums averaging 24–25°C, rarely dipping below 23°C or exceeding 26°C, consistent with the rainy season’s cloud cover and frequent afternoon convection. For August 24 specifically, forecast guidance points to similar conditions with no major frontal systems or unusual wind shifts expected, keeping the lowest temperature anchored near the historical baseline. The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 20–30°C reflect traders pricing in this narrow natural variability, where small differences in cloud timing or urban heat effects at the measurement station can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. No significant recent developments have altered the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
30°C or higher 85%
20°C or below 40%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
20°C or below
40%
21°C
18%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
85%
30°C or higher 85%
20°C or below 40%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
20°C or below
40%
21°C
18%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Typical overnight lows in Panama City during August hover near 24°C, driven by the persistent influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Recent climatological data from sources like AccuWeather and Weatherspark show August minimums averaging 24–25°C, rarely dipping below 23°C or exceeding 26°C, consistent with the rainy season’s cloud cover and frequent afternoon convection. For August 24 specifically, forecast guidance points to similar conditions with no major frontal systems or unusual wind shifts expected, keeping the lowest temperature anchored near the historical baseline. The closely matched market-implied probabilities around 20–30°C reflect traders pricing in this narrow natural variability, where small differences in cloud timing or urban heat effects at the measurement station can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. No significant recent developments have altered the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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