Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris reference station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 13.7°C around 02:36 UTC on May 4, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 13°C outcome per market resolution standards, which typically use integer values from this authoritative site. Mild southerly flows and persistent cloud cover overnight inhibited radiative cooling, keeping lows above the early May climatological average of 9–10°C despite cooler model guidance pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering a validated lower reading from compliant sensors within Paris boundaries, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary bulletins are issued. Final validation expected via Météo-France's climatological release within 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 4?
13°C 100%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$16,472 Vol.
$16,472 Vol.
May 4, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$16,472 Vol.
$16,472 Vol.
May 4, 2026
7°C or below
$710 Vol.
No
8°C
$1,262 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,259 Vol.
No
10°C
$719 Vol.
No
11°C
$507 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,780 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,603 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$509 Vol.
No
15°C
$846 Vol.
No
16°C
$611 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$3,667 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris reference station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 13.7°C around 02:36 UTC on May 4, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 13°C outcome per market resolution standards, which typically use integer values from this authoritative site. Mild southerly flows and persistent cloud cover overnight inhibited radiative cooling, keeping lows above the early May climatological average of 9–10°C despite cooler model guidance pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering a validated lower reading from compliant sensors within Paris boundaries, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary bulletins are issued. Final validation expected via Météo-France's climatological release within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$16,472End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris reference station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 13.7°C around 02:36 UTC on May 4, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 13°C outcome per market resolution standards, which typically use integer values from this authoritative site. Mild southerly flows and persistent cloud cover overnight inhibited radiative cooling, keeping lows above the early May climatological average of 9–10°C despite cooler model guidance pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering a validated lower reading from compliant sensors within Paris boundaries, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary bulletins are issued. Final validation expected via Météo-France's climatological release within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,472End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris reference station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 13.7°C around 02:36 UTC on May 4, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 13°C outcome per market resolution standards, which typically use integer values from this authoritative site. Mild southerly flows and persistent cloud cover overnight inhibited radiative cooling, keeping lows above the early May climatological average of 9–10°C despite cooler model guidance pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering a validated lower reading from compliant sensors within Paris boundaries, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary bulletins are issued. Final validation expected via Météo-France's climatological release within 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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