Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul’s morning low on June 15 will reach 19°C under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and minimal overnight cooling. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, when typical overnight lows range 18–20°C ahead of daytime highs near 30°C, and current observations show no incoming cold fronts or anomalous humidity shifts. Traders assign 99% implied probability to 19°C because multiple model runs and real-time station data converge tightly on this value, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or instrumentation revision could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
19°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$21,596 Vol.
$21,596 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$21,596 Vol.
$21,596 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
$1,640 Vol.
No
14°C
$812 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,824 Vol.
No
16°C
$860 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,107 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,784 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,982 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$1,147 Vol.
No
21°C
$711 Vol.
No
22°C
$781 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$1,950 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul’s morning low on June 15 will reach 19°C under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and minimal overnight cooling. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, when typical overnight lows range 18–20°C ahead of daytime highs near 30°C, and current observations show no incoming cold fronts or anomalous humidity shifts. Traders assign 99% implied probability to 19°C because multiple model runs and real-time station data converge tightly on this value, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or instrumentation revision could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$21,596End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul’s morning low on June 15 will reach 19°C under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and minimal overnight cooling. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, when typical overnight lows range 18–20°C ahead of daytime highs near 30°C, and current observations show no incoming cold fronts or anomalous humidity shifts. Traders assign 99% implied probability to 19°C because multiple model runs and real-time station data converge tightly on this value, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or instrumentation revision could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,596End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul’s morning low on June 15 will reach 19°C under stable early-summer conditions with light winds and minimal overnight cooling. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, when typical overnight lows range 18–20°C ahead of daytime highs near 30°C, and current observations show no incoming cold fronts or anomalous humidity shifts. Traders assign 99% implied probability to 19°C because multiple model runs and real-time station data converge tightly on this value, with resolution tied to the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or instrumentation revision could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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