Current weather forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Incheon and Seoul on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions that promote radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Official model consensus and historical September baselines for the region support this outcome, with morning lows near 15–17°C aligning precisely with the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for 16°C. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term variability. A modest shift could occur only if unexpected fog, altered wind patterns, or measurement discrepancies at official stations revise the recorded low outside this narrow band before final data release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
16°C 96%
15°C 6%
12°C 1.0%
11°C or below <1%
NEW
$12,245 Vol.
NEW
$12,245 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
96%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 96%
15°C 6%
12°C 1.0%
11°C or below <1%
NEW
$12,245 Vol.
NEW
$12,245 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$146 Vol.
1%
12°C
$156 Vol.
1%
13°C
$96 Vol.
1%
14°C
$149 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,120 Vol.
6%
16°C
$2,857 Vol.
96%
17°C
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Incheon and Seoul on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions that promote radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Official model consensus and historical September baselines for the region support this outcome, with morning lows near 15–17°C aligning precisely with the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for 16°C. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term variability. A modest shift could occur only if unexpected fog, altered wind patterns, or measurement discrepancies at official stations revise the recorded low outside this narrow band before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,245End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Incheon and Seoul on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions that promote radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Official model consensus and historical September baselines for the region support this outcome, with morning lows near 15–17°C aligning precisely with the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for 16°C. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term variability. A modest shift could occur only if unexpected fog, altered wind patterns, or measurement discrepancies at official stations revise the recorded low outside this narrow band before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,245End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Incheon and Seoul on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions that promote radiative cooling overnight without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Official model consensus and historical September baselines for the region support this outcome, with morning lows near 15–17°C aligning precisely with the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for 16°C. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term variability. A modest shift could occur only if unexpected fog, altered wind patterns, or measurement discrepancies at official stations revise the recorded low outside this narrow band before final data release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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