Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely range 23–25°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 28°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Coastal humidity around 60–70% and partly cloudy conditions further moderate overnight lows compared to inland areas. The near-even market split between sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes reflects model spread in wind patterns and cloud cover, which could allow greater cooling under clearer, calmer skies or retain heat with increased moisture and mixing. Historical September averages show typical minima near 20–22°C, underscoring the current warmer baseline. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF on September 24 will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 25?
29°C or higher 98%
19°C or below 50%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
19°C or below
50%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
98%
29°C or higher 98%
19°C or below 50%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely range 23–25°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 28°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Coastal humidity around 60–70% and partly cloudy conditions further moderate overnight lows compared to inland areas. The near-even market split between sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes reflects model spread in wind patterns and cloud cover, which could allow greater cooling under clearer, calmer skies or retain heat with increased moisture and mixing. Historical September averages show typical minima near 20–22°C, underscoring the current warmer baseline. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF on September 24 will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely range 23–25°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 28°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Coastal humidity around 60–70% and partly cloudy conditions further moderate overnight lows compared to inland areas. The near-even market split between sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes reflects model spread in wind patterns and cloud cover, which could allow greater cooling under clearer, calmer skies or retain heat with increased moisture and mixing. Historical September averages show typical minima near 20–22°C, underscoring the current warmer baseline. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF on September 24 will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely range 23–25°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 28°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Coastal humidity around 60–70% and partly cloudy conditions further moderate overnight lows compared to inland areas. The near-even market split between sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes reflects model spread in wind patterns and cloud cover, which could allow greater cooling under clearer, calmer skies or retain heat with increased moisture and mixing. Historical September averages show typical minima near 20–22°C, underscoring the current warmer baseline. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF on September 24 will clarify resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions