Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with clear skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure. This aligns with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23–25°C or 27°C reflect minor divergences in nocturnal cooling rates driven by humidity levels near 70–85% and dew points around 22–23°C, while the 21°C-or-below share at 34.5% captures tail-risk scenarios of stronger advection or clearer radiational cooling. Elevated outcomes above 29°C remain low-probability given climatological baselines and the absence of heat-retaining cloud cover or southerly flow. Updated model runs from agencies like the Israeli Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact overnight minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 59%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
41%
27°C
50%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
59%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 59%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$18 Vol.
41%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with clear skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure. This aligns with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23–25°C or 27°C reflect minor divergences in nocturnal cooling rates driven by humidity levels near 70–85% and dew points around 22–23°C, while the 21°C-or-below share at 34.5% captures tail-risk scenarios of stronger advection or clearer radiational cooling. Elevated outcomes above 29°C remain low-probability given climatological baselines and the absence of heat-retaining cloud cover or southerly flow. Updated model runs from agencies like the Israeli Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with clear skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure. This aligns with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23–25°C or 27°C reflect minor divergences in nocturnal cooling rates driven by humidity levels near 70–85% and dew points around 22–23°C, while the 21°C-or-below share at 34.5% captures tail-risk scenarios of stronger advection or clearer radiational cooling. Elevated outcomes above 29°C remain low-probability given climatological baselines and the absence of heat-retaining cloud cover or southerly flow. Updated model runs from agencies like the Israeli Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with clear skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure. This aligns with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Nearby bins such as 23–25°C or 27°C reflect minor divergences in nocturnal cooling rates driven by humidity levels near 70–85% and dew points around 22–23°C, while the 21°C-or-below share at 34.5% captures tail-risk scenarios of stronger advection or clearer radiational cooling. Elevated outcomes above 29°C remain low-probability given climatological baselines and the absence of heat-retaining cloud cover or southerly flow. Updated model runs from agencies like the Israeli Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact overnight minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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