Skip to main content
Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Janez Janša 75%

Jernej Vrtovec 11.6%

Anže Logar 6.6%

Robert Golob 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,634,131 Vol.

Janez Janša 75%

Jernej Vrtovec 11.6%

Anže Logar 6.6%

Robert Golob 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,634,131 Vol.

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Janez Janša

$668,472 Vol.

75%

Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Jernej Vrtovec

$71,442 Vol.

12%

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Anže Logar

$953,584 Vol.

7%

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Robert Golob

$618,410 Vol.

5%

Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Matej Tonin

$11,463 Vol.

<1%

Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Zoran Stevanović

$110,276 Vol.

<1%

Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Vladimir Prebilič

$176,869 Vol.

<1%

Will Luka Mesec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Luka Mesec

$9,299 Vol.

<1%

Will Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? icon

Matjaž Han

$14,316 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 10 election of Zoran Stevanović, leader of the anti-establishment Resni.ca party, as National Assembly speaker with 48 votes from a center-right bloc—including Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), New Slovenia (NSi) under Jernej Vrtovec, and allies—has solidified trader consensus on Janša's strong path to becoming Slovenia's next prime minister for a potential fourth term. This cross-party unity post-March 22 parliamentary elections, where incumbent Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured 29 seats but no majority, underscores stalled center-left coalition talks and right-wing momentum. Vrtovec and Anže Logar emerge as compromise candidates within the bloc, while Golob's odds reflect fragmentation. President Nataša Pirc Musar will soon initiate consultations to nominate a premier amid tight negotiations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,634,131
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 10 election of Zoran Stevanović, leader of the anti-establishment Resni.ca party, as National Assembly speaker with 48 votes from a center-right bloc—including Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), New Slovenia (NSi) under Jernej Vrtovec, and allies—has solidified trader consensus on Janša's strong path to becoming Slovenia's next prime minister for a potential fourth term. This cross-party unity post-March 22 parliamentary elections, where incumbent Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured 29 seats but no majority, underscores stalled center-left coalition talks and right-wing momentum. Vrtovec and Anže Logar emerge as compromise candidates within the bloc, while Golob's odds reflect fragmentation. President Nataša Pirc Musar will soon initiate consultations to nominate a premier amid tight negotiations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,634,131
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janez Janša" at 75%, followed by "Jernej Vrtovec" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" has generated $2.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is "Janez Janša" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jernej Vrtovec" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.