OpenAI’s Codex team has issued multiple global usage resets in recent weeks, most recently on September 12, as it rolls out higher-demand models like GPT-6 Astra ahead of schedule while managing compute load across ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business plans. Announcements from engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux link these resets to fixes for unintended drains from auto-review, duplicate background tasks, and overly aggressive retries, alongside banked resets offered during Astra access delays. Traders are tracking the pattern of roughly one reset every 2–3 days lately versus a longer historical average, alongside the reintroduction of five-hour windows on lower tiers and persistent weekly caps. Key upcoming catalysts include further Astra expansions, potential policy tweaks to smooth demand, and any new model releases that could shift capacity needs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 16, 2026
September 16
62%
September 18
48%
September 20
56%
September 22
71%
September 24
76%
$737 Vol.
September 16
$149 Vol.
62%
September 18
$77 Vol.
48%
September 20
$144 Vol.
56%
September 22
$224 Vol.
71%
September 24
$142 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s Codex team has issued multiple global usage resets in recent weeks, most recently on September 12, as it rolls out higher-demand models like GPT-6 Astra ahead of schedule while managing compute load across ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business plans. Announcements from engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux link these resets to fixes for unintended drains from auto-review, duplicate background tasks, and overly aggressive retries, alongside banked resets offered during Astra access delays. Traders are tracking the pattern of roughly one reset every 2–3 days lately versus a longer historical average, alongside the reintroduction of five-hour windows on lower tiers and persistent weekly caps. Key upcoming catalysts include further Astra expansions, potential policy tweaks to smooth demand, and any new model releases that could shift capacity needs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Volume
$737End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s Codex team has issued multiple global usage resets in recent weeks, most recently on September 12, as it rolls out higher-demand models like GPT-6 Astra ahead of schedule while managing compute load across ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business plans. Announcements from engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux link these resets to fixes for unintended drains from auto-review, duplicate background tasks, and overly aggressive retries, alongside banked resets offered during Astra access delays. Traders are tracking the pattern of roughly one reset every 2–3 days lately versus a longer historical average, alongside the reintroduction of five-hour windows on lower tiers and persistent weekly caps. Key upcoming catalysts include further Astra expansions, potential policy tweaks to smooth demand, and any new model releases that could shift capacity needs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify.
Only qualifying resets announced or initiated after the creation of this market will be considered.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$737End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s Codex team has issued multiple global usage resets in recent weeks, most recently on September 12, as it rolls out higher-demand models like GPT-6 Astra ahead of schedule while managing compute load across ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and Business plans. Announcements from engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux link these resets to fixes for unintended drains from auto-review, duplicate background tasks, and overly aggressive retries, alongside banked resets offered during Astra access delays. Traders are tracking the pattern of roughly one reset every 2–3 days lately versus a longer historical average, alongside the reintroduction of five-hour windows on lower tiers and persistent weekly caps. Key upcoming catalysts include further Astra expansions, potential policy tweaks to smooth demand, and any new model releases that could shift capacity needs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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