Keiko Fujimori leads partial first-round results from Peru's April 12 presidential election at around 17% with over 92% of votes tallied, securing her spot in the June 7 runoff and bolstering trader consensus at 65% implied probability to claim the presidency amid the nation's decade of instability. Leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino surged to second place at 12% in late counting from rural and urban strongholds, elevating his odds to 19% as a credible challenger, while conservative Rafael López Aliaga slipped to third near 11-13% following fraud allegations and calls for annulment that have not gained traction. Pre-election polls showed Fujimori's Fuerza Popular edge in a fragmented 35-candidate field, with vote-count delays fueling uncertainty but no major reversals. Runoff dynamics will hinge on endorsements, debates, and anti-incumbent sentiment against interim President Boluarte.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeru Presidential Election Winner
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 19.9%
Rafael López Aliaga 16%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
$32,676,666 Vol.
$32,676,666 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
20%

Rafael López Aliaga
16%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 19.9%
Rafael López Aliaga 16%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
$32,676,666 Vol.
$32,676,666 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
20%

Rafael López Aliaga
16%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori leads partial first-round results from Peru's April 12 presidential election at around 17% with over 92% of votes tallied, securing her spot in the June 7 runoff and bolstering trader consensus at 65% implied probability to claim the presidency amid the nation's decade of instability. Leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino surged to second place at 12% in late counting from rural and urban strongholds, elevating his odds to 19% as a credible challenger, while conservative Rafael López Aliaga slipped to third near 11-13% following fraud allegations and calls for annulment that have not gained traction. Pre-election polls showed Fujimori's Fuerza Popular edge in a fragmented 35-candidate field, with vote-count delays fueling uncertainty but no major reversals. Runoff dynamics will hinge on endorsements, debates, and anti-incumbent sentiment against interim President Boluarte.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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